10.29.2026 - Fed Holds at 3.75%–4.00%, Inflation Still Elevated 

Headline Summary 

  • Fed Funds Rate Decision: No action. Fed Funds target range remains at 3.75% - 4.00% 

  • Cumulative Change This Cycle: Up 25 bps 

  • Balance Sheet: No change 

  • Next Meeting Date: December 8-9, 2026 

FOMC Statement Summary 

  • Economy: While uncertainty remains elevated, domestic spending has been resilient, productivity growth is strong, and capital investment is robust. 

  • Inflation: Inflation remains elevated. More information will guide the Committee on the policy stance needed to return inflation to 2%. 

  • Labor Market: Job gains have kept pace with the workforce, and the unemployment rate has changed little. 

Fed Chair Press Conference Highlights 

  • There’s no soft inflation target. There’s a target of price stability, and it’s 2% as measured by PCE. 

  • While overall financial conditions are tighter, I'm unwilling and unable to call them tight.  

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10.27.2026 - PCE Inflation — Annual Revision Leaves Upward Trend Intact